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External Sector Performance - March 2024

The merchandise trade deficit narrowed in March 2024, (year-on-year), supported by a notable improvement in export earnings, the highest earnings recorded since August 2022.

The services sector also recorded a notable net inflow in March 2024 mainly from tourism, while sizeable inflows were recorded in terms of sea transport (freight) services as well.

Workers’ remittances remained elevated in March 2024 in line with the seasonal trend.

Foreign investments in the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) and the government securities market recorded monthly net outflows in March 2024.

Gross Official Reserves stood at US dollars 5.0 billion by end March 2024, a notable increase compared to the US dollars 4.4 billion as at end 2023.

The Sri Lanka rupee demonstrated a notable appreciation trend against the US dollar during the month of March 2024.

CCPI based headline inflation showed some uptick in April 2024

Headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year (Y-o-Y) change in the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100)1 showed some uptick to record 1.5% in April 2024 compared to 0.9% in March 2024.

Food inflation (Y-o-Y) decelerated to 2.9% in April 2024 from 3.8% in March 2024. Nevertheless, Non-Food Category recorded an inflation (Y-o-Y) of 0.9% in April 2024 compared to the 0.5% deflation observed in March 2024. On a month-on-month basis, inflation continued to decline. Monthly change of CCPI recorded -0.79% in April 2024 due to the price decreases of 0.32% observed in the items of Food category and the price decreases of 0.47% observed in the items of Non-Food category. Meanwhile, core inflation (Y-o-Y), which reflects the underlying inflation trends in the economy,  accelerated to 3.4% in April 2024 from 3.1% in March 2024. 

SL Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for Construction Industry – March 2024

Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers’ Index for Construction (PMI – Construction) indicates an expansion in construction activities in March, as reflected by the Total Activity Index, which recorded an index value of 55.9. This is the third consecutive month that the index remained above the neutral threshold, denoting a steady improvement in construction activities.

New Orders increased in March at a slower pace on month-on-month basis. Most respondents mentioned that projects are available to tender yet there is stiff competition in pricing. The Employment continued to decline in the backdrop of continuous turnover of experienced staff and cautious hiring of employees. Quantity of Purchases increased during the month in parallel to the increase in activity levels. Further, price levels of certain types of construction materials declined during the month. Meanwhile, in March, Suppliers’ Delivery Time lengthened at the same rate as in the previous month.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka hosted the FSB RCG Asia Meeting in Colombo on 29 April 2024

The Financial Stability Board (FSB) Regional Consultative Group for Asia (RCG Asia) met on 29 April 2024 in Colombo1. The discussions were centered around recent financial market developments and vulnerabilities that warranted closer monitoring. Accordingly, the group discussed ways to promote the implementation of FSB regulatory framework for crypto-asset activities across the region and recent developments in artificial intelligence, its growing use in the financial sector, and implications for financial stability. Members also reviewed progress being made within the region on addressing financial risks from climate change and discussed progress on enhancing cross-border payments and the key challenges in making them faster, cheaper, and more transparent and inclusive.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka releases its inaugural Annual Economic Review and Financial Statements and Operations of the Central Bank for the Year 2023

The inaugural publication under Section 80 of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka Act, No. 16 of 2023 (CBA), namely, the Annual Economic Review 2023, and the inaugural publication under Section 99 of the CBA, namely, Financial Statements and Operations of the Central Bank 2023, were presented to Honourable Ranil Wickremesinghe, the President and Minister of Finance, Economic Stabilization and National Policies, by Dr. P Nandalal Weerasinghe, the Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, today (25 April 2024).

Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers’ Index (Manufacturing and Services) - March 2024

Purchasing Managers’ Indices indicate expansions in Manufacturing and Services activities in March 2024.

Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers’ Index for Manufacturing (PMI – Manufacturing) recorded an index value of 62.5 in March 2024, indicating an expansion in manufacturing activities. This marks the highest PMI-Manufacturing that was recorded in three years. All the sub-indices expanded on a month-on-month basis contributing to this increase, mainly driven by the seasonal demand.

The increase in New Orders and Production was mainly attributable to the manufacture of food & beverages and textiles & apparel sectors. Most of the manufacturers, especially in food & beverage sector, were optimistic about the upcoming festive season. Moreover, Employment and Stock of Purchases increased during the month in line with the New Orders and Production. Further, a decline in price levels was also evident. Meanwhile, Suppliers' Delivery Time remained lengthened, yet at a slower rate in March.

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